:Title: COMMUNICATION ALERT AND PLANNING SYSTEM STATUS (4-WEEK FLARE OUTLOOK)
:Message ID: CAP5/A/2454923.7
:Issue Time: Apr 02 2009/04:35 UTC (2009/92)
#Prepared by Space Environment Technologies Space Weather Division (SET/SWD)
#Contact spacenvironment@spacenvironment.net
#
28-DAY MAXIMUM XRAY FLARE OUTLOOK STATUS: R0 A-class quiet with 01% probability
  during epoch period beginning at Apr 01 2009/12:00
 
FLARE OUTLOOK:    1-day        2-day        3-day        7-day       14-day       28-day
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Calendar Date  02-Apr 2009  03-Apr 2009  04-Apr 2009  08-Apr 2009  15-Apr 2009  29-Apr 2009
  Nominal       R0/Q/34/0    R0/Q/34/0    R0/Q/34/0    R0/Q/34/0    R0/Q/33/0    R0/Q/33/0
  Small         R0/A/12/0    R0/A/12/0    R0/A/12/0    R0/A/12/0    R0/A/12/0    R0/Q/11/0
  Medium        R0/A/02/0    R0/A/02/0    R0/A/02/0    R0/A/02/0    R0/A/02/0    R0/A/02/0
  Large         R0/A/01/0    R0/A/01/0    R0/A/01/0    R0/A/01/0    R0/A/01/0    R0/A/01/0
 
MAXIMUM XRAY EFFECTS FOR 02-Apr 2009
  COMMUNICATION:  quiet
  NAVIGATION AND GEOLOCATION:  quiet
  LEO ORBITAL ENVIRONMENT:  quiet
  LEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
  GEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
 
MAXIMUM XRAY EFFECTS FOR 03-Apr 2009
  COMMUNICATION:  quiet
  NAVIGATION AND GEOLOCATION:  quiet
  LEO ORBITAL ENVIRONMENT:  quiet
  LEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
  GEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
 
MAXIMUM XRAY EFFECTS FOR 04-Apr 2009
  COMMUNICATION:  quiet
  NAVIGATION AND GEOLOCATION:  quiet
  LEO ORBITAL ENVIRONMENT:  quiet
  LEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
  GEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
 
MAXIMUM XRAY EFFECTS FOR 08-Apr 2009
  COMMUNICATION:  quiet
  NAVIGATION AND GEOLOCATION:  quiet
  LEO ORBITAL ENVIRONMENT:  quiet
  LEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
  GEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
 
MAXIMUM XRAY EFFECTS FOR 15-Apr 2009
  COMMUNICATION:  quiet
  NAVIGATION AND GEOLOCATION:  quiet
  LEO ORBITAL ENVIRONMENT:  quiet
  LEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
  GEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
 
MAXIMUM XRAY EFFECTS FOR 29-Apr 2009
  COMMUNICATION:  quiet
  NAVIGATION AND GEOLOCATION:  quiet
  LEO ORBITAL ENVIRONMENT:  quiet
  LEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
  GEO SPACECRAFT SURFACES AND SYSTEMS:  quiet
 
 
NOTE A (FLARE OUTLOOK):
  1) nominal indicates best guess maximum flare conditions;
  2) small indicates small flares independent of background Xrays;
  3) medium indicates medium flares independent of background Xrays;
  4) large indicates large flares independent of background Xrays;
  5) A/B/C/D:
     A = NOAA R scale
     B = X-ray flare class
     C = % probability
     D = outlook status (0=Quiet, 1=Monitoring, 2=Watch, 3=Advisory,
         4=Warning, 5=Severe warning, 6=Extreme Warning)
 
NOTE B (outlook status):
  * WARNINGS are issued when a hazardous weather event is occurring, is imminent, or has a very high probability of occurring. A warning is used for very active conditions posing a threat to life or property (NOAA NWS).
  * ADVISORIES highlight special weather conditions that are less serious than a warning. They are for events in active to very active conditions that may cause significant inconvenience, and if caution is not exercised, it could lead to situations that may threaten life and/or property (NOAA NWS).
  * WATCHES are issued when the risk of a hazardous weather event has increased significantly, but its occurrence, location, and/or timing is still uncertain. It is intended to provide enough lead time in active conditions so that those who need to set their plans in motion can do so (NOAA NWS).
  * MONITORING is performed when the risk of a hazardous weather event minimal and its occurrence, location, and/or timing is uncertain. It is intended to update a current epoch status of quiet to active conditions so that those who need to set their plans in motion can do so (SET).
  * QUIET is announced when the risk of a hazardous weather event is minimal and the occurrence, location, and/or timing is uncertain. It is intended to provide a current epoch status of quiet conditions so that those who need to set their plans in motion can do so (SET).
  * ALERTS are issued when an event threshold is crossed and contain information that is available at the time of issue. Alerts are provided directly to users who demonstrate an urgent need for such information (NOAA SEC).
  * SUMMARY MESSAGES are issued after the event ends, and contain additional and corroborating information available at the time of issue (NOAA SWPC).